Stefan Struve vs Chase Gormley — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun

Los Angeles, USA

24 Oct 2009

Heavyweight

92%

Struve

Gormley

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 4:04

Stefan Struve

"Skyscraper"

33 – 13

6'11"84" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter

CFR 21

Chase Gormley

14 – 6

Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox6'3"

CFR 2

★ Official Result

Stefan StruvewinsSubmissionR1 · 4:04

def. Chase Gormley · UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Struve

→

Actual result

Struve wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Struve is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Struve has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.

Striking split: Gormley throws more volume but Struve connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gormley has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StruveGormley

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Struve

Gormley

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'11"+

Height

6'3"

84"

Reach

38+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Struve

Gormley

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

20.6

1.8

51.7

Performance Avg

0.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Struve

Gormley

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.8

2.0

52%

Strike Accuracy

35%

4.9

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.0

5 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

5Distance1

0Clinch2

7Ground5

Struve

Gormley

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

—

0.3

Sub Attempts / fight

—

4.1

Grappling Style Score (/10)

0.0

2.8

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

0.0

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Struve

Gormley

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.6 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

24/46 fights

Chin rating based on

2/20 fights

Struve

Gormley

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R1

Struve

Gormley

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

85%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Struve

Gormley

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.0

4.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

2.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

4.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.0

2.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.0

Struve

Strike Zones

Gormley

Struve

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Gormley

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Struve targets the head (58% of attacks) — Gormley absorbs 58% of strikes there

🎯Gormley targets the head (50% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Struve

RND

Gormley

0/0R00/0

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3

WinLossTrend

Gormley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5

WinLossTrend

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Tai TuivasaRating 1.9

KO/TKO

UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

L · KO · R2

Ben RothwellRating 2.8

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12

W · Sub · R2

Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02

L · Dec · R3

Marcin TyburaRating 5.9

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07

L · Dec · R3

Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2

Decision

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Gormley · Last 2

L · KO · R1

Brendan SchaubRating 1.5

KO/TKO

UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

L · Sub · R1

Stefan StruveRating 1.5

Submission

UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

News & Media

Stefan Struve · Chase Gormley

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