UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
48%
Lawler
52%
Barberena
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:47
RL
Robbie Lawler
"Ruthless"
30 – 16
5'11"74" reachSouthpaw44 yrsStriker
CFR 41
Bryan
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barberena

This is a genuine toss-up — Lawler at 48% vs Barberena at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Barberena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barberena has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lawler
Barberena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
44
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Lawler
Barberena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
43.3
51.0
Performance Avg
43.9
45
Quality of Victory
42
90
Momentum Score
76
Lawler
Barberena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
70
3
Body
6
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
40Distance74
2Clinch6
0Ground0
Lawler
Barberena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Barberena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Lawler
Barberena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
76
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Lawler
Barberena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
56%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawler
Barberena
Striking6.5 / 5.4Volume4.9 / 4.5Grappling1.1 / 2.0Wrestling0.8 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure5.5 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Lawler
Strike Zones
Barberena
Lawler
Attacking
38HEAD3BODY1LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
70HEAD6BODY4LEGS80 absorbed
Barberena
Attacking
70HEAD6BODY4LEGS80 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD3BODY1LEGS42 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (90% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Barberena targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lawler
RND
Barberena
0/0R00/0

Lawler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.7L1.5L6.8L6.1L5.2W3.2L5.7W2002-052013-022015-072020-082023-07
WinLossTrend

Barberena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W5.5L5.2W4.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L5.0W5.5L4.9L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.9W5.5W2.9L2.6L6.5L3.8L2014-122017-042020-092022-122024-03
WinLossTrend

Lawler · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Barberena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

News & Media

Robbie Lawler · Bryan Barberena
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