Cezar Ferreira vs Andrew Craig — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens

San Antonio, USA

28 Jun 2014

Middleweight

55%

Ferreira

45%

Craig

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Cezar Ferreira

"Mutante"

13 – 8

6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 17

Andrew Craig

"Highlight"

9 – 4

Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"

CFR 14

★ Official Result

Cezar FerreirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Andrew Craig · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Ferreira

→

Actual result

Ferreira wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 55% vs Craig at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Craig has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

FerreiraCraig

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Ferreira

Craig

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"

Height

6'1"

78"+

Reach

76"

Age

+40

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Ferreira

Craig

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

16.6

13.6

49.5

Performance Avg

38.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Ferreira

Craig

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

4.2

/ 10

4.1

Style: Pressure

3.6

6.5

Style: Volume

6.2

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance6

0Clinch0

0Ground3

Ferreira

Craig

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.3

/ 10

1.6

/ 10

3.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.1

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Ferreira

Craig

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

8 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/21 fights

Chin rating based on

7/13 fights

Ferreira

Craig

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Ferreira

Craig

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira

Craig

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.2

4.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.6

3.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.1

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.6

6.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.2

Ferreira

Strike Zones

Craig

Ferreira

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Craig

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Ferreira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Craig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira

RND

Craig

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Marvin Vettori

Decision

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07

L · Dec · R3

Ian Heinisch

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11

W · Sub · R1

Karl Roberson

Submission

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05

W · Dec · R3

Nate Marquardt

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11

L · Dec · R3

Elias Theodorou

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Lyman Good

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07

L · Dec · R3

Cezar Ferreira

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06

L · Sub · R2

Luke Barnatt

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10

W · Dec · R3

Chris Leben

Decision

UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

L · Dec · R3

Ronny Markes

Decision

UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Andrew Craig

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