UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Middleweight
VS
55%
Ferreira
45%
Craig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
AC
Andrew Craig
"Highlight"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ferreira

This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 55% vs Craig at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Craig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Craig has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ferreira
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
76"
41
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
13.6
49.5
Performance Avg
38.1
43
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
35
Ferreira
Craig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Ferreira
Craig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ferreira
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Ferreira
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ferreira
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira
Craig
Striking1.2 / 4.2Volume6.5 / 6.2Grappling4.3 / 1.6Wrestling3.0 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Ferreira
Strike Zones
Craig
Ferreira
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Craig
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Craig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L2.8L2012-032013-012013-102015-07
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyman GoodRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke BarnattRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris LebenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Andrew Craig
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