METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Lightweight
VS
53%
Poirier
47%
Ferreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:45
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:45
def. Diego Ferreira · UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Poirier at 53% vs Ferreira at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Ferreira throws more volume but Poirier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ferreira has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
37+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
55.1
58.2
Performance Avg
50.7
50
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
87
Poirier
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
2.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
10 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
12
1
Body
5
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance16
1Clinch4
3Ground0
Poirier
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Poirier
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Poirier
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
87
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Poirier
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
70%
10
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
PoirierFerreira
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (83% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (60% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Poirier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ferreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Ferreira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12