METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Lightweight
VS
52%
Poirier
48%
Ferreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:45
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:45
def. Diego Ferreira · UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Poirier at 52% vs Ferreira at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ferreira has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
37+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
57.1
58.2
Performance Avg
50.5
50
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Poirier
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.0
Style: Volume
4.1
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
12
1
Body
5
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance16
1Clinch4
3Ground0
Poirier
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Poirier
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Poirier
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Poirier
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
64%
10
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
PoirierFerreira
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (83% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (60% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevSubmission
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W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Ferreira · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
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Alexander HernandezKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonDecision
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W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
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