★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Chicago, USA
16 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
50%
Plessis
50%
Chimaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Dricus
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stillknocks"
23 – 3
6'1"76" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 74
Khamzat
Khamzat Chimaev
"Borz"
15 – 1
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 73

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Plessis

This is a genuine toss-up — Plessis at 50% vs Chimaev at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Plessis throws more volume but Chimaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Plessis
Chimaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Plessis
Chimaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.5
73.2
65.6
Performance Avg
65.1
49
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
100
Plessis
Chimaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance8
0Clinch0
3Ground1
Plessis
Chimaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Plessis
Chimaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Plessis
Chimaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Plessis
Chimaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Plessis
Chimaev
Striking6.2 / 4.0Volume4.5 / 4.5Grappling2.6 / 4.4Wrestling1.8 / 3.0Submission2.2 / 4.4Pressure7.4 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Plessis
Strike Zones
Chimaev
Plessis
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Chimaev
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Plessis targets the head (80% of attacks) — Chimaev absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Chimaev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Plessis
RND
Chimaev
0/0R00/0

Plessis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5W4.5W5.5W5.5W6.2W5.6W6.8W5.6W7.4L2020-102022-122024-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Chimaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.0W6.1W5.8W4.7W5.6W5.6W5.9W6.4W6.6L2020-072021-102023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Plessis · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

Chimaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09

News & Media

Dricus Du Plessis · Khamzat Chimaev
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