Chris Gruetzemacher vs Rafa Garcia — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland

Las Vegas, USA

31 Jul 2021

Lightweight

29%

Gruetzemacher

71%

Garcia

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Chris Gruetzemacher

"Gritz"

15 – 5

5'8"68" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 21

Rafa Garcia

"Gifted"

19 – 4

Well-Rounded3-fight win streak32 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"

CFR 51

★ Official Result

Chris GruetzemacherwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Rafa Garcia · UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Garcia

→

Actual result

Gruetzemacher wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Garcia is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Gruetzemacher's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

GruetzemacherGarcia

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Gruetzemacher

Garcia

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"+

Height

5'7"

68"

Reach

+70"

Age

+32

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Gruetzemacher

Garcia

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

21.1

50.6

38.1

Performance Avg

44.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Gruetzemacher

Garcia

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.2

/ 10

2.7

/ 10

3.6

Style: Pressure

3.9

6.2

Style: Volume

7.0

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

21Distance13

5Clinch0

0Ground1

Gruetzemacher

Garcia

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.6

/ 10

2.9

/ 10

1.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.0

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Gruetzemacher

Garcia

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/20 fights

Chin rating based on

12/23 fights

Gruetzemacher

Garcia

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

L · Sub · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Gruetzemacher

Garcia

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

29%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gruetzemacher

Garcia

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.7

1.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.9

1.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.4

3.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.9

6.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.0

Gruetzemacher

Strike Zones

Garcia

Gruetzemacher

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Garcia

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Gruetzemacher targets the head (73% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 73% of strikes there

🎯Garcia targets the head (93% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gruetzemacher

RND

Garcia

0/0R00/0

Gruetzemacher · Last 5

L · Sub · R3

Claudio Puelles

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

W · Dec · R3

Rafa Garcia

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07

L · KO · R1

Alexander Hernandez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10

W · KO · R2

Joe Lauzon

KO/TKO

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

L · Sub · R3

Davi Ramos

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12

Garcia · Last 5

Upcoming

Rongzhu

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Alexander Hernandez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

W · KO · R3

Jared Gordon

KO/TKO

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

W · Dec · R3

Vinc Pichel

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · KO · R2

Grant Dawson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

News & Media

Chris Gruetzemacher · Rafa Garcia

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