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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jul 2021
Lightweight
VS
29%
Gruetzemacher
71%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CG
Chris Gruetzemacher
"Gritz"
15 – 5
5'8"68" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Rafa
Rafa Garcia
"Gifted"
19 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 51
★ Official Result
Chris GruetzemacherwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rafa Garcia · UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
→
Actual result
Gruetzemacher wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Garcia is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gruetzemacher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gruetzemacher's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GruetzemacherGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gruetzemacher
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gruetzemacher
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
50.6
38.1
Performance Avg
44.7
35
Quality of Victory
32
41
Momentum Score
75
Gruetzemacher
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
1.5
59%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
13
7
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance13
5Clinch0
0Ground1
Gruetzemacher
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gruetzemacher
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Gruetzemacher
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
75
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Gruetzemacher
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gruetzemacher
Garcia
Striking4.2 / 2.7Volume6.2 / 7.0Grappling1.6 / 2.9Wrestling1.1 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure3.6 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Gruetzemacher
Strike Zones
Garcia
Gruetzemacher
Attacking
19HEAD7BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD7BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gruetzemacher targets the head (73% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (93% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gruetzemacher
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

Gruetzemacher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W2.8L4.0L5.2W2.4L5.3W4.9L2015-122017-122020-102021-12
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.2L5.5L4.5W5.2W6.5L4.8W5.0W4.2L4.7W5.9W5.4W2021-032022-042023-042025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Gruetzemacher · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 4.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R3
Davi RamosRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12

Garcia · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Grant DawsonRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Chris Gruetzemacher · Rafa Garcia
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