METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale
Las Vegas, USA
15 Dec 2012
Lightweight
VS
66%
Pichel
34%
Khabilov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:15
Vinc
Vinc Pichel
"From Hell"
145
5'10"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
RK
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
244
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'8"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Rustam KhabilovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:15
def. Vinc Pichel · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pichel
Actual result
Khabilov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Pichel holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Khabilov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pichel has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pichel's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PichelKhabilov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Pichel
Khabilov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pichel
Khabilov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.5
19.9
41.3
Performance Avg
48.2
30
Quality of Victory
29
40
Momentum Score
100
Pichel
Khabilov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch2
0Ground11
Pichel
Khabilov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pichel
Khabilov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Pichel
Khabilov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pichel
Khabilov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
10%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pichel
Khabilov
Striking2.6 / 2.5Volume8.0 / 7.9Grappling2.1 / 1.9Wrestling1.4 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.8 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Pichel
Strike Zones
Khabilov
Pichel
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Khabilov
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Khabilov targets the head (92% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pichel
RND
Khabilov
0/0R00/0

Pichel · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W2.8L4.7W4.9W4.5W5.7L5.9L6.3L2012-122017-062019-062022-042025-03
WinLossTrend

Khabilov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W4.0W4.5W3.4L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.5L4.5W2012-122015-022016-122019-11
WinLossTrend

Pichel · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Ismael BonfimRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mark MadsenRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08

Khabilov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12

News & Media

Vinc Pichel · Rustam Khabilov
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