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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale
Las Vegas, USA
15 Dec 2012
Lightweight
VS
66%
Pichel
34%
Khabilov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:15
Vinc
Vinc Pichel
"From Hell"
145
5'10"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
RK
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
244
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'8"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Rustam KhabilovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:15
def. Vinc Pichel · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pichel
Actual result
Khabilov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Pichel holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Khabilov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Pichel's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PichelKhabilov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Pichel
Khabilov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pichel
Khabilov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.5
19.9
41.3
Performance Avg
48.2
30
Quality of Victory
29
40
Momentum Score
100
Pichel
Khabilov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
3.0
8.0
Style: Volume
7.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch2
0Ground11
Pichel
Khabilov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pichel
Khabilov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Pichel
Khabilov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pichel
Khabilov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
10%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pichel
Khabilov
Striking2.6 / 2.5Volume8.0 / 7.9Grappling2.1 / 1.9Wrestling1.4 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.8 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Pichel
Strike Zones
Khabilov
Pichel
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Khabilov
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Khabilov targets the head (92% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pichel
RND
Khabilov
0/0R00/0

Pichel · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafa Garcia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Ismael Bonfim
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mark Madsen
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Austin Hubbard
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim Miller
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08

Khabilov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sergey Khandozhko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Diego Ferreira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Kajan Johnson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond Green
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason Saggo
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12

News & Media

Vinc Pichel · Rustam Khabilov
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