UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
25 Feb 2023
Lightweight
VS
90%
Solecki
10%
Deaton
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:55
Joe
Joe Solecki
13 – 6
5'9"70" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
CD
Carl Deaton
"The Anishinaabe Kid"
17 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Solecki

Solecki is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Solecki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.

Solecki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Solecki
Deaton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Solecki
Deaton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
5.2
43.6
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Solecki
Deaton
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
25%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Solecki
Deaton
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Solecki
Deaton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/24 fights
Solecki
Deaton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Solecki
Deaton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Solecki
Deaton
Striking1.1 / 0.0Volume5.9 / 0.0Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.3 / 0.0Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Solecki
Strike Zones
Deaton
Solecki
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Deaton
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Deaton targets the head (100% of attacks) — Solecki absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Solecki
RND
Deaton
0/0R00/0

Solecki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.9W5.9L4.5W5.2W2.5L7.0L6.8L2019-122021-102023-122025-01
WinLossTrend

Deaton · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0103.5L5.5L2023-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Solecki · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nurullo AlievRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Drakkar KloseRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Sub · R2
Carl DeatonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06

Deaton · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Alexander MunozRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Joe SoleckiRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

News & Media

Joe Solecki · Carl Deaton
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