UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
Beijing, China
24 Nov 2018
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Blaydes
44%
Ngannou
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:45
FN
CFR 43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blaydes
This is a genuine toss-up — Blaydes at 56% vs Ngannou at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ngannou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Blaydes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blaydes
Ngannou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
+83"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Ngannou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
43.0
53.4
Performance Avg
70.4
42
Quality of Victory
60
81
Momentum Score
100
Blaydes
Ngannou
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
11
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch5
0Ground5
Blaydes
Ngannou
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blaydes
Ngannou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/25 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Blaydes
Ngannou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
100
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Blaydes
Ngannou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
7
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blaydes
Ngannou
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
BlaydesNgannou
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedNgannou
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ngannou targets the head (85% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blaydes
RND
Ngannou
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Blaydes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ngannou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Blaydes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Ngannou · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneRating 6.2Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
