METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Featherweight
VS
54%
Tucker
46%
Jaynes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:43
★ Official Result
Gavin TuckerwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:43
def. Justin Jaynes · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tucker
→
Actual result
Tucker wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tucker at 54% vs Jaynes at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Jaynes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tucker's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TuckerJaynes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tucker
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+68"
40
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tucker
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.1
27.5
43.9
Performance Avg
44.0
35
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
39
Tucker
Jaynes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
1.6
36%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Tucker
Jaynes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tucker
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Tucker
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Tucker
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tucker
Jaynes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
TuckerJaynes
Strike Zones
Tucker
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJaynes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tucker targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tucker absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tucker
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tucker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Jaynes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Tucker · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7Decision
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
W · Sub · R3
Justin JaynesRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Sub · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.7Submission
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
Jaynes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte SmithRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel BenitezRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank CamachoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06