METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Featherweight
VS
65%
Tucker
35%
Jaynes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:43
★ Official Result
Gavin TuckerwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:43
def. Justin Jaynes · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tucker
→
Actual result
Tucker wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tucker holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Jaynes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Tucker's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TuckerJaynes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tucker
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+68"
40
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tucker
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.1
17.5
43.9
Performance Avg
44.0
35
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
39
Tucker
Jaynes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
7.6
5.1
Style: Volume
0.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Tucker
Jaynes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tucker
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Tucker
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Tucker
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tucker
Jaynes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
TuckerJaynes
Strike Zones
Tucker
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJaynes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tucker targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tucker absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tucker
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tucker · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Diego LopesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
W · Sub · R3
Justin JaynesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Sub · R3
SeungWoo ChoiSubmission
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
Jaynes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte SmithUFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel BenitezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin TuckerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank CamachoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06