UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
50%
Pereira
50%
Daukaus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pereira
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 50% vs Daukaus at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Daukaus has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pereira
Daukaus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Daukaus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
47.7
50.5
Performance Avg
49.0
40
Quality of Victory
48
39
Momentum Score
33
Pereira
Daukaus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Pereira
Daukaus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Daukaus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
52
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Pereira
Daukaus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
33
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Pereira
Daukaus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Daukaus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
PereiraDaukaus
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDaukaus
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Daukaus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Daukaus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Daukaus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Shara MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Daukaus · Last 5
Upcoming
Bo NickalUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Michel PereiraRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

