UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Middleweight
VS
88%
Hester
12%
Enz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hester
Hester is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hester has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Hester has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hester's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hester
Enz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hester
Enz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
2.1
42.0
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
61
Momentum Score
0
Hester
Enz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
21%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
23
5
Body
7
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance32
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hester
Enz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hester
Enz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Hester
Enz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hester
Enz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hester
Enz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HesterEnz
Strike Zones
Hester
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedEnz
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hester targets the head (69% of attacks) — Enz absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Enz targets the head (72% of attacks) — Hester absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hester
RND
Enz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hester · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Enz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Hester · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Braga NetoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Enz · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Marcelo GuimaraesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Clint HesterRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02