★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Tate
53%
Nunes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nunes
This is a genuine toss-up — Tate at 47% vs Nunes at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nunes has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tate
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+69"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tate
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
58.2
42.5
Performance Avg
75.2
38
Quality of Victory
66
94
Momentum Score
100
Tate
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
35
1
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance30
0Clinch3
0Ground7
Tate
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.9
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tate
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Tate
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Tate
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
63%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tate
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TateNunes
Strike Zones
Tate
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedNunes
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tate targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (88% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tate
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Tate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06