UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
New York City, USA
4 Nov 2017
Lightweight
VS
45%
Vick
55%
Duffy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:59
JV
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
13 – 5
6'3"76" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JD
Joe Duffy
"Irish"
16 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Duffy

This is a genuine toss-up — Vick at 45% vs Duffy at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Vick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Vick's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Duffy has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Vick
Duffy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
73"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vick
Duffy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
21.7
50.2
Performance Avg
49.0
41
Quality of Victory
48
71
Momentum Score
100
Vick
Duffy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
5
Body
2
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
17Distance9
3Clinch0
4Ground0
Vick
Duffy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vick
Duffy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/18 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Vick
Duffy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Vick
Duffy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vick
Duffy
Striking3.5 / 3.5Volume4.8 / 3.0Grappling3.7 / 4.6Wrestling2.6 / 3.2Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure5.8 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Vick
Strike Zones
Duffy
Vick
Attacking
16HEAD5BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Duffy
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD5BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vick targets the head (67% of attacks) — Duffy absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Duffy targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Vick absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vick
RND
Duffy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.5W4.5W6.0W4.5W2.5L5.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W3.1L5.5L2.4L2.2L2013-082016-042017-112019-072019-10
WinLossTrend

Duffy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W6.8L5.0W4.5W2.8L5.6L2.8L2015-032016-012017-032019-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Vick · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Dan HookerRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Justin GaethjeRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Duffy · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
James VickRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Mitch ClarkeRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07

News & Media

James Vick · Joe Duffy
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