METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Tybura
47%
Grishin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Marcin TyburawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maxim Grishin · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tybura
→
Actual result
Tybura wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 53% vs Grishin at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TyburaGrishin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tybura
Grishin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Grishin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.0
34.9
44.3
Performance Avg
40.0
37
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
48
Tybura
Grishin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
4.7
5.7
Style: Volume
4.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Tybura
Grishin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tybura
Grishin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
5/42 fights
Tybura
Grishin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
48
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Tybura
Grishin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Grishin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TyburaGrishin
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGrishin
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (75% of attacks) — Grishin absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Grishin targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Grishin
0/0R00/0
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UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07