UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Tybura
45%
Grishin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27 – 11
6'3"78" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
MG
Maxim Grishin
"Maximus"
32 – 10
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tybura

This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 55% vs Grishin at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tybura
Grishin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Grishin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
34.9
45.2
Performance Avg
40.0
37
Quality of Victory
40
58
Momentum Score
48
Tybura
Grishin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Tybura
Grishin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tybura
Grishin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
5/42 fights
Tybura
Grishin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
48
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Tybura
Grishin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tybura
Grishin
Striking4.0 / 5.8Volume5.7 / 4.8Grappling1.9 / 1.2Wrestling1.4 / 0.8Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Tybura
Strike Zones
Grishin
Tybura
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Grishin
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (75% of attacks) — Grishin absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Grishin targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tybura
RND
Grishin
0/0R00/0

Tybura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Grishin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.9L5.2W6.9L4.5W6.2L2020-072020-102021-022022-022023-06
WinLossTrend

Tybura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Grishin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Philipe LinsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · KO · R2
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07

News & Media

Marcin Tybura · Maxim Grishin
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