METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2008
Lightweight
VS
55%
Guillard
45%
Siver
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:36
★ Official Result
Melvin GuillardwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:36
def. Dennis Siver · UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guillard
→
Actual result
Guillard wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Guillard at 55% vs Siver at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Guillard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Siver has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuillardSiver
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guillard
Siver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guillard
Siver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
14.3
49.7
Performance Avg
46.1
45
Quality of Victory
37
73
Momentum Score
43
Guillard
Siver
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
34%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Guillard
Siver
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Siver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
Guillard
Siver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
43
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Guillard
Siver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
42%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guillard
Siver
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
GuillardSiver
Strike Zones
Guillard
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSiver
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (100% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guillard
RND
Siver
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Guillard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Siver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Guillard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
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Upcoming
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W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
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Upcoming
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