METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith
Stockholm, Sweden
1 Jun 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
28%
Manuwa
72%
Rakic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:47
★ Official Result
Aleksandar RakicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:47
def. Jimi Manuwa · UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rakic
→
Actual result
Rakic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Rakic is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Manuwa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ManuwaRakic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Manuwa
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
79"+
Reach
78"
46
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Manuwa
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
38.3
45.2
Performance Avg
44.3
42
Quality of Victory
35
53
Momentum Score
30
Manuwa
Rakic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
3.8
2.3
Style: Volume
6.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Manuwa
Rakic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Manuwa
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Manuwa
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
30
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Manuwa
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Manuwa
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
ManuwaRakic
Strike Zones
Manuwa
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRakic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Manuwa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the head (50% of attacks) — Manuwa absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Manuwa
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Manuwa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago SantosKO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirKO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Corey AndersonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Rakic · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05