UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
56%
Namajunas
44%
Cortez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Namajunas
This is a genuine toss-up — Namajunas at 56% vs Cortez at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Cortez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Namajunas
Cortez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
Cortez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
49.1
55.9
Performance Avg
45.0
51
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
75
Namajunas
Cortez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
12
6
Body
6
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance19
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Namajunas
Cortez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
Cortez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Namajunas
Cortez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Namajunas
Cortez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
Cortez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
NamajunasCortez
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedCortez
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cortez absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Cortez targets the head (57% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
Cortez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Namajunas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Cortez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3Decision
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L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Cortez · Last 5
Upcoming
Wang CongUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Sub · R2
Erin BlanchfieldRating 4.3Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.4Decision
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