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UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
56%
Namajunas
44%
Cortez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Rose
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
158
5'5"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Tracy
Tracy Cortez
123
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 49
★ Official Result
Rose NamajunaswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Tracy Cortez · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Namajunas
Actual result
Namajunas wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Namajunas at 56% vs Cortez at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Cortez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NamajunasCortez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Namajunas
Cortez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
Cortez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
49.1
55.9
Performance Avg
45.0
51
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
75
Namajunas
Cortez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
12
6
Body
6
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance19
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Namajunas
Cortez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
Cortez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Namajunas
Cortez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Namajunas
Cortez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Namajunas
Cortez
Striking2.9 / 1.5Volume5.9 / 9.5Grappling3.4 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Namajunas
Strike Zones
Cortez
Namajunas
Attacking
21HEAD6BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY3LEGS21 absorbed
Cortez
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY3LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD6BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cortez absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Cortez targets the head (57% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Namajunas
RND
Cortez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Namajunas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0103.0L5.1W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W2.9L5.3W6.8W6.3W5.8L7.1L4.6W5.2W7.0L5.3W7.0L2014-122017-042021-042024-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Cortez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5W4.5W5.4W5.4W6.9L5.2W4.3L2019-112021-042023-092025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Namajunas · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Cortez · Last 5

Upcoming
Wang Cong
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Sub · R2
Erin BlanchfieldRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

News & Media

Rose Namajunas · Tracy Cortez
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