UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Lightweight
VS
63%
Tsarukyan
37%
Giagos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tsarukyan
Tsarukyan holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Giagos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tsarukyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Giagos has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tsarukyan
Giagos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
29+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tsarukyan
Giagos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.5
38.8
58.4
Performance Avg
41.0
42
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
64
Tsarukyan
Giagos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Tsarukyan
Giagos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tsarukyan
Giagos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Tsarukyan
Giagos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
64
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Tsarukyan
Giagos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tsarukyan
Giagos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
TsarukyanGiagos
Strike Zones
Tsarukyan
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGiagos
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tsarukyan targets the head (95% of attacks) — Giagos absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Giagos targets the body (100% of attacks) — Tsarukyan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tsarukyan
RND
Giagos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tsarukyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Giagos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Tsarukyan · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Dan HookerRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · KO · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Giagos · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Ricky GlennRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

