METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Belgrade, Serbia
1 Aug 2026
Featherweight
VS
42%
Buzukja
58%
Grad
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:33
★ Official Result
Bogdan GradwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:33
def. Dennis Buzukja · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grad
→
Actual result
Grad wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Buzukja at 42% vs Grad at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Buzukja's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BuzukjaGrad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buzukja
Grad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
28+
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Buzukja
Grad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
59.6
36.7
Performance Avg
51.4
50
Quality of Victory
52
39
Momentum Score
65
Buzukja
Grad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
8.5
0.3
Style: Volume
1.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
10
6
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance13
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Buzukja
Grad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buzukja
Grad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Buzukja
Grad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Buzukja
Grad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buzukja
Grad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BuzukjaGrad
Strike Zones
Buzukja
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedGrad
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buzukja targets the head (75% of attacks) — Grad absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Grad targets the head (59% of attacks) — Buzukja absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buzukja
RND
Grad
0/0R00/0
Buzukja · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GradSubmission
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L · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallDecision
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W · KO · R3
Connor MatthewsKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Grad · Last 4
W · Sub · R2
Dennis BuzukjaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Luke RileyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovDecision
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W · KO · R2
Lucas AlexanderKO/TKO
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