UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Sydney, Australia
7 Nov 2014
Middleweight
VS
78%
Whittaker
22%
Hester
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Whittaker
Whittaker is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Whittaker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Hester throws more volume but Whittaker connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hester has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Whittaker
Hester
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+77"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Hester
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
15.3
56.0
Performance Avg
42.0
46
Quality of Victory
32
71
Momentum Score
61
Whittaker
Hester
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
15
1
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance16
2Clinch4
4Ground0
Whittaker
Hester
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Whittaker
Hester
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Whittaker
Hester
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
61
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Whittaker
Hester
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whittaker
Hester
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
WhittakerHester
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedHester
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (87% of attacks) — Hester absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Hester targets the head (75% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whittaker
RND
Hester
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Whittaker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Hester · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Whittaker · Last 5
Upcoming
Nikita KrylovUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Hester · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Braga NetoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02