Cezar Ferreira vs Jack Hermansson — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira

Sao Paulo, Brazil

19 Nov 2016

Middleweight

24%

Ferreira

76%

Hermansson

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 2:11

Cezar Ferreira

"Mutante"

13 – 8

6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 17

Jack Hermansson

"The Joker"

24 – 10

Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"

CFR 54

★ Official Result

Cezar FerreirawinsSubmissionR2 · 2:11

def. Jack Hermansson · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Hermansson

→

Actual result

Ferreira wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Hermansson is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hermansson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

FerreiraHermansson

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Ferreira

Hermansson

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"

Height

6'1"

78"+

Reach

77"

Age

+38

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Ferreira

Hermansson

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

16.6

53.8

49.5

Performance Avg

48.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Ferreira

Hermansson

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

3.9

/ 10

4.1

Style: Pressure

5.6

6.5

Style: Volume

4.8

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance5

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Ferreira

Hermansson

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.3

/ 10

3.3

/ 10

3.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.3

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

2.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Ferreira

Hermansson

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.4 stoppage

8 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/21 fights

Chin rating based on

19/34 fights

Ferreira

Hermansson

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R5

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Ferreira

Hermansson

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

55%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira

Hermansson

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.9

4.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.3

3.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.3

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.7

4.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.6

6.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Ferreira

Strike Zones

Hermansson

Ferreira

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Hermansson

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Ferreira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Hermansson targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira

RND

Hermansson

0/0R00/0

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Marvin Vettori

Decision

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07

L · Dec · R3

Ian Heinisch

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11

W · Sub · R1

Karl Roberson

Submission

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05

W · Dec · R3

Nate Marquardt

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11

L · Dec · R3

Elias Theodorou

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Hermansson · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Myktybek Orolbai

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

L · KO · R1

Gregory Rodrigues

KO/TKO

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · Dec · R5

Joe Pyfer

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

L · KO · R2

Roman Dolidze

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

W · Dec · R3

Chris Curtis

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Jack Hermansson

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