METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
48%
Ricci
52%
Pennington
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tabatha RicciwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tecia Pennington · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Ricci wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ricci at 48% vs Pennington at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RicciPennington
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ricci
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
5'1"
61"+
Reach
60"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ricci
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
49.8
44.1
Performance Avg
39.8
35
Quality of Victory
28
53
Momentum Score
89
Ricci
Pennington
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
2.4
6.9
Style: Volume
7.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
21
3
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance21
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Ricci
Pennington
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ricci
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/16 fights
Chin rating based on
19/23 fights
Ricci
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
89
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ricci
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
9%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ricci
Pennington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
RicciPennington
Strike Zones
Ricci
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedPennington
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ricci targets the head (68% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the head (91% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ricci
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0
Ricci · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Carla EsparzaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernDecision
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