Combatrics Intelligence
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Paul Craig's Scottish submission wizardry meets Rodolfo Bellato's Brazilian finishing instinct in a light heavyweight clash built for Atlanta's fight crowd.
Paul Craig has been one of the most reliably entertaining light heavyweights in the UFC for the better part of five years — a Scot whose triangle choke from seemingly impossible positions has become a cult highlight, and whose willingness to fight from his back makes every ground exchange a potential submission. But his record has flatlined, and at 17-10, the contendership window is closing. Rodo…
Craig arrives having won three of his last five — a workable record at this level but not one that demands title contention. His submission game remains genuinely elite and he has been submitted infrequently in his UFC run. His striking is serviceable but he is not a knockout threat.
Bellato is a finisher who creates danger through accumulated pressure rather than single-shot power. His combination work and forward movement have produced multiple stoppages at UFC level. His ground game is developing but remains secondary.
Craig securing a takedown or guard pull in round one — his path to victory requires the fight on the ground
Bellato's ability to stay off the canvas and land combinations while respecting Craig's submission range
The scramble game — any time these two hit the floor, Craig's submission awareness creates real danger
Whether Craig's striking can create enough damage to force the fight to the ground on his terms
Craig's striking is not good enough to win a standing fight against Bellato consistently
Bellato's combination work at range could keep Craig from ever getting close enough for his ground game
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
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This fight · per-round breakdown