METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
A former title challenger sliding down the rankings meets an unbeaten Brazilian who has quietly won three straight without anyone noticing.
Amanda Lemos was two fights from a belt not long ago. She has now lost three of her last four, and the division has started to treat her as a name to beat rather than a problem to solve. The most recent was a decision loss to Gillian Robertson in March — a fight Lemos was expected to win — and before that Tatiana Suarez outgrappled her in September. The pattern is consistent and it is not encoura…
Lemos (15-6) has lost three of her last four, most recently a decision to Gillian Robertson in March. At 39 she is nine years the elder. Her 42.6 quality-of-victory is the higher of the two — she has fought and beaten better opposition, including a decision win over Mackenzie Dern in 2024.
Thainara (14-1) is unbeaten in three UFC appearances, with a first-round submission of Molly McCann among them. Perfect 100 ratings in both chin and momentum. The open question is her 34.7 quality-of-victory — this is a clear step up in opposition.
Thainara's 7.33 volume against a Lemos who has been out-worked in three of her last four
Lemos' power (4.53 striking to 2.00) against a 100 chin rating that has never been tested at this level
Thainara's grappling edge — the exact route Robertson and Suarez used to beat Lemos
A 34.7 quality-of-victory for Thainara: her first real name opponent
Thainara has not faced anyone with Lemos' finishing power — the 100 chin rating is untested against it
Lemos' experience in five-round and main-card fights is far deeper; if this gets scrappy late she has been there
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown