UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Featherweight
VS
58%
Shore
42%
Amirkhani
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:27
Jack
Jack Shore
"Tank"
17 – 3
5'8"71" reachOrthodox31 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
MA
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'10"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shore

This is a genuine toss-up — Shore at 58% vs Amirkhani at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shore has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Amirkhani has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shore
Amirkhani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Shore
Amirkhani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
36.2
48.6
Performance Avg
47.6
37
Quality of Victory
46
82
Momentum Score
56
Shore
Amirkhani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.5
64%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
3
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance3
1Clinch1
3Ground0
Shore
Amirkhani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shore
Amirkhani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Shore
Amirkhani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Shore
Amirkhani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shore
Amirkhani
Striking1.3 / 2.4Volume5.3 / 3.3Grappling5.2 / 5.3Wrestling3.6 / 3.7Submission5.0 / 5.7Pressure5.5 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Shore
Strike Zones
Amirkhani
Shore
Attacking
20HEAD3BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Amirkhani
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD3BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shore targets the head (87% of attacks) — Amirkhani absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (75% of attacks) — Shore absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shore
RND
Amirkhani
0/0R00/0

Shore · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W4.5W3.4L5.3W6.3L3.8L2019-092021-092023-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Amirkhani · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W6.0L5.5L4.3L5.0W3.2L3.5L2015-012018-052020-102022-072023-03
WinLossTrend

Shore · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Youssef ZalalRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · R2
Joanderson BritoRating 6.3
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Sub · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Timur ValievRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03

Amirkhani · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike GrundyRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela KirkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

News & Media

Jack Shore · Makwan Amirkhani
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