UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Perth, Australia
27 Sept 2025
Heavyweight
VS
93%
Pericic
7%
Ellison
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:55
Brando
Brando Pericic
"The Balkan Bear"
7 – 1
6'5"79" reachOrthodox31 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 82
Elisha
Elisha Ellison
"The Snack Panther"
5 – 2
Well-Rounded29 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'0"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pericic

Pericic is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 76 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pericic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.

Pericic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Pericic
Ellison
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
78"
31
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pericic
Ellison
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.1
6.2
75.0
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Pericic
Ellison
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
7.6
0.2
63%
Strike Accuracy
33%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
2
2
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance2
12Clinch1
6Ground0
Pericic
Ellison
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Pericic
Ellison
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/8 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Pericic
Ellison
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Pericic
Ellison
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pericic
Ellison
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume2.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Pericic
Strike Zones
Ellison
Pericic
Attacking
23HEAD2BODY4LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Ellison
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD2BODY4LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pericic targets the head (79% of attacks) — Ellison absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Ellison targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pericic absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pericic
RND
Ellison
0/0R00/0

Pericic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.0W5.9W2025-092026-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Pericic · Last 3

W · KO · R2
Shamil GazievRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Louie SutherlandRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Elisha EllisonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

Ellison · Last 2

Upcoming
Gable Steveson
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Brando PericicRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

News & Media

Brando Pericic · Elisha Ellison
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