UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Vancouver, Canada
14 Sept 2019
Bantamweight
VS
76%
Katona
24%
Azure
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Brad
Brad Katona
"Superman"
16 – 5
5'6"64" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 42
HA
Hunter Azure
9 – 2
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Katona

Katona is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Katona has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Katona has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Katona
Azure
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
64"
Reach
+69"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Katona
Azure
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.2
13.2
44.0
Performance Avg
35.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
50
Katona
Azure
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
1
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Katona
Azure
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Katona
Azure
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Katona
Azure
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Katona
Azure
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Katona
Azure
Striking0.9 / 1.0Volume8.9 / 9.0Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.3 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Katona
Strike Zones
Azure
Katona
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Azure
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Katona targets the head (88% of attacks) — Azure absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Azure targets the head (60% of attacks) — Katona absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Katona
RND
Azure
0/0R00/0

Katona · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L4.7W5.6L4.5W6.4L2.6L2018-072019-092024-062025-05
WinLossTrend

Azure · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.9W3.0L4.5W6.3L2019-092020-052020-092021-04
WinLossTrend

Katona · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jesse ButlerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Azure · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jack ShoreRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Cole SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · KO · R2
Brian KelleherRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

News & Media

Brad Katona · Hunter Azure
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