Chris Wade vs Islam Makhachev — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson

Hidalgo, USA

17 Sept 2016

Lightweight

22%

Wade

78%

Makhachev

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Chris Wade

12 – 3

5'10"70" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 21

Islam Makhachev

28 – 1

Well-Rounded17-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"

CFR 74

★ Official Result

Islam MakhachevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Chris Wade · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Makhachev

→

Actual result

Makhachev wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Makhachev is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Makhachev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

WadeMakhachev

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Wade

Makhachev

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

5'10"

70"

Reach

70"

Age

+34

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Wade

Makhachev

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

20.8

73.9

50.5

Performance Avg

69.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Wade

Makhachev

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.4

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

4.9

Style: Pressure

7.1

6.2

Style: Volume

5.0

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance2

0Clinch0

0Ground1

Wade

Makhachev

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.6

/ 10

4.5

/ 10

3.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.1

4.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Wade

Makhachev

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

17 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/15 fights

Chin rating based on

19/29 fights

Wade

Makhachev

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

17-fight 🔥 win streak

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R5

W · KO · R1

Wade

Makhachev

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

61%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wade

Makhachev

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.6

4.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.5

3.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.1

4.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.4

4.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.1

6.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.0

Wade

Strike Zones

Makhachev

Wade

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Makhachev

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Wade targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Makhachev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Wade absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wade

RND

Makhachev

0/0R00/0

Wade · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Frankie Perez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07

L · Dec · R3

Islam Makhachev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09

L · Dec · R3

Rustam Khabilov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

W · Sub · R1

Mehdi Baghdad

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01

W · Dec · R3

Christos Giagos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08

W · Dec · R5

Jack Della Maddalena

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · Sub · R1

Renato Moicano

Submission

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Sub · R5

Dustin Poirier

Submission

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

W · KO · R1

Alexander Volkanovski

KO/TKO

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Chris Wade · Islam Makhachev

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