UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Lightweight
VS
62%
Pimblett
38%
Gordon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pimblett
Pimblett holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Gordon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pimblett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pimblett
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
68"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pimblett
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.2
42.1
63.1
Performance Avg
42.8
47
Quality of Victory
36
85
Momentum Score
63
Pimblett
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Pimblett
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pimblett
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Pimblett
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Pimblett
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pimblett
Gordon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
PimblettGordon
Strike Zones
Pimblett
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGordon
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pimblett targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pimblett absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pimblett
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0
Pimblett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Pimblett · Last 5
Upcoming
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