UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Welterweight
VS
95%
Nueraji
5%
Crosbie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:33
Taiyilake
Taiyilake Nueraji
"Super Saiyan"
12 – 1
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw25 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 83
Kiefer
Kiefer Crosbie
"BDK"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide36 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 4

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nueraji

Nueraji is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 79 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nueraji has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Nueraji has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Crosbie has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nueraji
Crosbie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
70"
25+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Nueraji
Crosbie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
4.3
76.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Nueraji
Crosbie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
10.8
6.7
71%
Strike Accuracy
64%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
25Ground0
Nueraji
Crosbie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Nueraji
Crosbie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/13 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Nueraji
Crosbie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Nueraji
Crosbie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nueraji
Crosbie
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume2.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Nueraji
Strike Zones
Crosbie
Nueraji
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Crosbie
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nueraji targets the head (93% of attacks) — Crosbie absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Crosbie targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nueraji absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nueraji
RND
Crosbie
0/0R00/0

Crosbie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0102.2L3.2L3.9L2023-092024-072025-08
WinLossTrend

Nueraji · Last 1

W · KO · R1
Kiefer CrosbieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

Crosbie · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Taiyilake NuerajiRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Sam PattersonRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Sub · R1
Kevin JoussetRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Taiyilake Nueraji · Kiefer Crosbie
← Back to fights