METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Welterweight
VS
95%
Nueraji
5%
Crosbie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:33
★ Official Result
Taiyilake NuerajiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:33
def. Kiefer Crosbie · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nueraji
→
Actual result
Nueraji wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Nueraji is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 79 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nueraji has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Nueraji has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Crosbie has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NuerajiCrosbie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nueraji
Crosbie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
70"
25+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Nueraji
Crosbie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
4.3
76.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Nueraji
Crosbie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.8
6.7
71%
Strike Accuracy
64%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
25Ground0
Nueraji
Crosbie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Nueraji
Crosbie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/13 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Nueraji
Crosbie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Nueraji
Crosbie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nueraji
Crosbie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NuerajiCrosbie
Strike Zones
Nueraji
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedCrosbie
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nueraji targets the head (93% of attacks) — Crosbie absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Crosbie targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nueraji absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nueraji
RND
Crosbie
0/0R00/0
Crosbie · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Nueraji · Last 1
W · KO · R1
Kiefer CrosbieRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
Crosbie · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Taiyilake NuerajiRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Sam PattersonRating 3.2Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Sub · R1
Kevin JoussetRating 2.2Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09