METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Lima
55%
Tafa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:14
★ Official Result
Marcos Rogerio de LimawinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:14
def. Junior Tafa · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tafa
→
Actual result
Lima wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lima at 45% vs Tafa at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lima's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tafa has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LimaTafa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lima
Tafa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
75"
41
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lima
Tafa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.4
48.6
53.8
Performance Avg
48.3
49
Quality of Victory
58
59
Momentum Score
39
Lima
Tafa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.4
Style: Volume
0.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Lima
Tafa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lima
Tafa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
9/12 fights
Lima
Tafa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
39
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Lima
Tafa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lima
Tafa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
LimaTafa
Strike Zones
Lima
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTafa
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lima targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tafa targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lima
RND
Tafa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Kevin ChristianKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Tuco TokkosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10