METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Featherweight
VS
46%
Holloway
54%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Yair Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 46% vs Rodriguez at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
69"
Reach
+71"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
66.4
57.7
Performance Avg
60.2
48
Quality of Victory
51
63
Momentum Score
100
Holloway
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
5.4
4.8
Style: Volume
5.8
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
21
11
Body
7
5
Leg
8
RangeRange
40Distance33
12Clinch3
1Ground0
Holloway
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Holloway
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Holloway
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
46%
11
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
HollowayRodriguez
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (70% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (58% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettSubmission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07