UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Las Vegas, USA
23 Sept 2023
Middleweight
VS
55%
Malkoun
45%
Brundage
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Malkoun
This is a genuine toss-up — Malkoun at 55% vs Brundage at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brundage has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Brundage throws more volume but Malkoun connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brundage has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Malkoun
Brundage
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Malkoun
Brundage
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
45.2
44.7
Performance Avg
49.0
30
Quality of Victory
53
98
Momentum Score
26
Malkoun
Brundage
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
61%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
28Ground1
Malkoun
Brundage
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Malkoun
Brundage
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Malkoun
Brundage
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
26
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Malkoun
Brundage
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Malkoun
Brundage
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MalkounBrundage
Strike Zones
Malkoun
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBrundage
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Malkoun targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brundage targets the head (50% of attacks) — Malkoun absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Malkoun
RND
Brundage
0/0R00/0
Malkoun · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
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W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
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