UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
25 May 2013
Featherweight
VS
20%
Bermudez
80%
Holloway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
179
5'6"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
279
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holloway

Holloway is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bermudez
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+69"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
56.2
43.2
Performance Avg
56.8
33
Quality of Victory
47
50
Momentum Score
63
Bermudez
Holloway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
20
5
Body
3
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance24
2Clinch0
15Ground0
Bermudez
Holloway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Bermudez
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
63
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Bermudez
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
52%
1
KO / TKO Wins
10
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bermudez
Holloway
Striking2.2 / 5.8Volume6.8 / 4.9Grappling3.3 / 1.7Wrestling2.3 / 1.2Submission2.0 / 0.9Pressure3.9 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Bermudez
Strike Zones
Holloway
Bermudez
Attacking
26HEAD5BODY5LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD3BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Holloway
Attacking
20HEAD3BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD5BODY5LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (72% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (83% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bermudez
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0

Bermudez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L4.5L4.5W4.5W2.0L6.0L6.2L5.6L4.5W2011-122013-112016-022018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Holloway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0102.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L7.5L5.2W6.2W5.5W5.0W4.5W6.0W6.4W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.7W5.7W5.7W6.8L4.5W7.0L7.0L5.0W6.1W7.0L5.9W5.7W7.1W5.1L5.8W6.9L2012-022014-082017-062021-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Bermudez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

Holloway · Last 5

Upcoming
Conor McGregor
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Dennis Bermudez · Max Holloway
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