UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
25 May 2013
Featherweight
VS
20%
Bermudez
80%
Holloway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Holloway
Holloway is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bermudez
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+69"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
56.2
43.2
Performance Avg
56.8
33
Quality of Victory
47
50
Momentum Score
63
Bermudez
Holloway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
20
5
Body
3
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance24
2Clinch0
15Ground0
Bermudez
Holloway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Bermudez
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
63
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Bermudez
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
52%
1
KO / TKO Wins
10
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Holloway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
BermudezHolloway
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedHolloway
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (72% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (83% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Holloway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Holloway · Last 5
Upcoming
Conor McGregorUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
