UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
Houston, USA
8 Oct 2011
Middleweight
VS
59%
Cantwell
41%
Massenzio
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SC
Steve Cantwell
"The Robot"
7 – 6
6'2"75" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
MM
Mike Massenzio
"The Master of Disaster"
13 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'2"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cantwell

This is a genuine toss-up — Cantwell at 59% vs Massenzio at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cantwell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Cantwell throws more volume but Massenzio connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Massenzio has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cantwell
Massenzio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"+
Reach
73"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cantwell
Massenzio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
11.4
39.1
Performance Avg
35.1
54
Quality of Victory
40
33
Momentum Score
13
Cantwell
Massenzio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
32%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
29
13
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance27
7Clinch3
0Ground0
Cantwell
Massenzio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cantwell
Massenzio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Cantwell
Massenzio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
13
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Cantwell
Massenzio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cantwell
Massenzio
Striking0.3 / 0.6Volume0.3 / 4.6Grappling8.0 / 5.2Wrestling5.6 / 3.6Submission10.0 / 5.0Pressure7.5 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Cantwell
Strike Zones
Massenzio
Cantwell
Attacking
9HEAD13BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD1BODY0LEGS30 absorbed
Massenzio
Attacking
29HEAD1BODY0LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD13BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cantwell targets the body (59% of attacks) — Massenzio absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Massenzio targets the head (97% of attacks) — Cantwell absorbs 97% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cantwell
RND
Massenzio
0/0R00/0

Cantwell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L2008-122009-042009-092011-032011-102012-02
WinLossTrend

Massenzio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.0W1.5L4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L2.8L2008-092010-082011-102012-05
WinLossTrend

Cantwell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Riki FukudaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike MassenzioRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Cyrille DiabateRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Brian StannRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
Luiz CaneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

Massenzio · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Karlos VemolaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve CantwellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R3
Brian StannRating 4
Submission
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08

News & Media

Steve Cantwell · Mike Massenzio
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