UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral
Las Vegas, USA
26 Aug 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
85%
Heath
15%
Walmsley
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Heath
Heath is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Heath has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Walmsley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Heath's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Heath
Walmsley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
50
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Heath
Walmsley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
2.5
39.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Heath
Walmsley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
28%
Strike Accuracy
100%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Heath
Walmsley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Heath
Walmsley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Heath
Walmsley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Heath
Walmsley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Heath
Walmsley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HeathWalmsley
Strike Zones
Heath
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWalmsley
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Heath targets the head (100% of attacks) — Walmsley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Walmsley targets the head (50% of attacks) — Heath absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Heath
RND
Walmsley
0/0R00/0
Heath · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Heath · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · Sub · R2
Renato SobralRating 2.8Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
W · Dec · R3
Victor ValimakiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Cory WalmsleyRating 5Submission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
Walmsley · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
David HeathRating 1.5Submission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08