METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral
Las Vegas, USA
26 Aug 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
85%
Heath
15%
Walmsley
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:32
★ Official Result
David HeathwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:32
def. Cory Walmsley · UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Heath
→
Actual result
Heath wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Heath is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Heath has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Risk flags
Heath's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HeathWalmsley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Heath
Walmsley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
50
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Heath
Walmsley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
2.5
39.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Heath
Walmsley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Heath
Walmsley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Heath
Walmsley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Heath
Walmsley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Heath
Walmsley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Heath
Walmsley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HeathWalmsley
Strike Zones
Heath
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWalmsley
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Heath targets the head (100% of attacks) — Walmsley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Walmsley targets the head (50% of attacks) — Heath absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Heath
RND
Walmsley
0/0R00/0
Heath · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschKO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · Sub · R2
Renato SobralSubmission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaDecision
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
W · Dec · R3
Victor ValimakiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Cory WalmsleySubmission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
Walmsley · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
David HeathSubmission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08