UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Tampa, USA
7 Feb 2009
Middleweight
VS
49%
Miller
51%
Rosholt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:03
DM
Dan Miller
14 – 8
6'1"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
JR
Jake Rosholt
12 – 5
Submission Hunter44 yrsOrthodox6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosholt

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 49% vs Rosholt at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Rosholt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miller
Rosholt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Rosholt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
17.6
43.7
Performance Avg
40.3
42
Quality of Victory
45
51
Momentum Score
52
Miller
Rosholt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
37%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
1Ground1
Miller
Rosholt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Rosholt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Miller
Rosholt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Miller
Rosholt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Rosholt
Striking0.9 / 0.7Volume3.6 / 0.7Grappling6.1 / 8.0Wrestling4.3 / 5.6Submission6.7 / 10.0Pressure6.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Miller
Strike Zones
Rosholt
Miller
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Rosholt
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rosholt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rosholt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Rosholt
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5W1.5L5.5L2008-092010-022011-032015-07
WinLossTrend

Rosholt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L5.5W1.5L2009-022009-082009-11
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchRating 5.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03

Rosholt · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Kendall GroveRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris LebenRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Sub · R1
Dan MillerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

News & Media

Dan Miller · Jake Rosholt
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