METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
85%
Ankalaev
15%
Abreu
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Magomed AnkalaevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Klidson Abreu · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ankalaev
→
Actual result
Ankalaev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ankalaev is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ankalaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Ankalaev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnkalaevAbreu
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ankalaev
Abreu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Abreu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
11.3
59.9
Performance Avg
28.3
43
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
33
Ankalaev
Abreu
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
30%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
3
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
2Clinch3
1Ground0
Ankalaev
Abreu
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Abreu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Ankalaev
Abreu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ankalaev
Abreu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Abreu
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
AnkalaevAbreu
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAbreu
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Abreu absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Abreu targets the body (75% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Abreu
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ankalaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Abreu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Ankalaev · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 4.6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Johnny WalkerUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Abreu · Last 4
Upcoming
Jamahal HillUFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GamzatovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02