UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
85%
Ankalaev
15%
Abreu
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Magomed
Magomed Ankalaev
21 – 2
6'3"75" reachOrthodox33 yrsStriker
CFR 66
KA
Klidson Abreu
"White Bear"
15 – 4
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ankalaev

Ankalaev is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ankalaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Ankalaev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ankalaev
Abreu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Abreu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
11.3
59.9
Performance Avg
28.3
43
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
33
Ankalaev
Abreu
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
30%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
3
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
2Clinch3
1Ground0
Ankalaev
Abreu
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Abreu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Ankalaev
Abreu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ankalaev
Abreu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ankalaev
Abreu
Striking6.7 / 0.7Volume5.7 / 8.7Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Ankalaev
Strike Zones
Abreu
Ankalaev
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Abreu
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Abreu absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Abreu targets the body (75% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ankalaev
RND
Abreu
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ankalaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.7L5.4W4.5W5.5W5.3W5.3W5.7W5.3W4.5W6.4W5.9W4.6W6.6W3.6L2018-032020-022022-032025-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Abreu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0107.0L4.5W5.5L2019-022019-072019-11
WinLossTrend

Ankalaev · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Johnny Walker
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Abreu · Last 4

Upcoming
Jamahal Hill
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GamzatovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02

News & Media

Magomed Ankalaev · Klidson Abreu
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