UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Dallas, USA
13 May 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Christensen
49%
Antigulov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Christensen
This is a genuine toss-up — Christensen at 51% vs Antigulov at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Antigulov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Christensen's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Antigulov has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Christensen
Antigulov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
70"
47
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Christensen
Antigulov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
16.0
40.0
Performance Avg
45.7
50
Quality of Victory
54
43
Momentum Score
33
Christensen
Antigulov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
54%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Christensen
Antigulov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Christensen
Antigulov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
22
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Christensen
Antigulov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Christensen
Antigulov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Christensen
Antigulov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
ChristensenAntigulov
Strike Zones
Christensen
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedAntigulov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Christensen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Antigulov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Antigulov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Christensen absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Christensen
RND
Antigulov
0/0R00/0
Christensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Antigulov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Christensen · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 1.5Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · KO · R3
Bojan MihajlovicRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Henrique da SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Antigulov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Maxim GrishinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul CraigRating 2.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Joachim ChristensenRating 5Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05