METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Middleweight
VS
44%
Strickland
56%
Plessis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dricus Du PlessiswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Sean Strickland · UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Plessis
→
Actual result
Plessis wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Strickland at 44% vs Plessis at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Plessis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StricklandPlessis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Strickland
Plessis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Strickland
Plessis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
72.2
50.9
Performance Avg
64.5
37
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
100
Strickland
Plessis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
6.9
6.8
Style: Volume
5.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
48
Head
27
4
Body
6
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
53Distance35
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Strickland
Plessis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strickland
Plessis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Strickland
Plessis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Strickland
Plessis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Strickland
Plessis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
StricklandPlessis
Strike Zones
Strickland
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedPlessis
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (91% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Plessis targets the head (77% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Strickland
RND
Plessis
0/0R00/0
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Plessis · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaSubmission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01