UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Anderson
45%
O'Connell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:36
CA
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
14 – 5
6'3"79" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
SO
Sean O'Connell
"The Real OC"
17 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anderson

This is a genuine toss-up — Anderson at 55% vs O'Connell at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

O'Connell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

O'Connell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

O'Connell has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anderson
O'Connell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
74"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
O'Connell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
15.6
50.1
Performance Avg
44.4
39
Quality of Victory
55
98
Momentum Score
26
Anderson
O'Connell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
28Ground2
Anderson
O'Connell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
O'Connell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Anderson
O'Connell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Anderson
O'Connell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anderson
O'Connell
Striking4.3 / 10.0Volume6.9 / 0.6Grappling1.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.2 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
Anderson
Strike Zones
O'Connell
Anderson
Attacking
29HEAD0BODY0LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
O'Connell
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD0BODY0LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (100% of attacks) — O'Connell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯O'Connell targets the head (33% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anderson
RND
O'Connell
0/0R00/0

Anderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.0L5.1W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W1.5L4.6L4.5W4.9W4.5W5.8W2.1L2014-072015-112017-032018-122020-02
WinLossTrend

O'Connell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.5L5.5L5.5W5.0W1.5L5.5L2.8L2014-042015-012016-012016-12
WinLossTrend

Anderson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04

O'Connell · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Corey AndersonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Steve BosseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · KO · R3
Matt Van BurenRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Corey Anderson · Sean O'Connell
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