UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Las Vegas, USA
4 Sept 2021
Middleweight
VS
57%
Brunson
43%
Till
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:13
DB
Derek Brunson
"The One"
23 – 9
6'1"77" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
DT
Darren Till
"The Gorilla"
18 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brunson

This is a genuine toss-up — Brunson at 57% vs Till at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Till connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Brunson
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
42
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Brunson
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
30.5
54.7
Performance Avg
44.3
47
Quality of Victory
38
72
Momentum Score
35
Brunson
Till
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
2
Body
4
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance11
2Clinch3
3Ground0
Brunson
Till
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brunson
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Brunson
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Brunson
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brunson
Till
Striking6.3 / 4.4Volume4.2 / 6.4Grappling2.0 / 1.6Wrestling1.4 / 1.1Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Brunson
Strike Zones
Till
Brunson
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Till
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Till absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Till targets the head (43% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brunson
RND
Till
0/0R00/0

Brunson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.4L5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L2.9L4.5W4.5W6.9W5.1W5.2W3.7L4.7L2012-122016-022018-012021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Till · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W2.1L2.1L4.8W6.4L3.0L5.9L2015-052017-102019-032021-092022-12
WinLossTrend

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

Till · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03

News & Media

Derek Brunson · Darren Till
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