UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Mexico City, Mexico
28 Feb 2026
Flyweight
VS
78%
Rodriguez
22%
Borjas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:21
Imanol
Imanol Rodriguez
"Himan"
7 – 0
5'4"64" reachOrthodox26 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 81
Kevin
Kevin Borjas
"El Gallo Negro"
10 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'5"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Borjas has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rodriguez
Borjas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
64"
Reach
+68"
26+
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Borjas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
80.7
22.3
73.0
Performance Avg
23.0
55
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
15
Rodriguez
Borjas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
7
6
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance10
2Clinch0
8Ground0
Rodriguez
Borjas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Borjas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/7 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Rodriguez
Borjas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
15
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Rodriguez
Borjas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Borjas
Striking10.0 / 0.4Volume2.0 / 8.4Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Borjas
Rodriguez
Attacking
26HEAD6BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Borjas
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD6BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (76% of attacks) — Borjas absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Borjas targets the head (70% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Borjas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Borjas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.1L4.1L5.7W6.1L5.0L2023-112024-052025-032025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 2

Upcoming
Matt Schnell
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Kevin BorjasRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

Borjas · Last 5

Upcoming
Andre Lima
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Imanol RodriguezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Alessandro CostaRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

News & Media

Imanol Rodriguez · Kevin Borjas
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