UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Ledyard, USA
5 Sept 2014
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Overeem
60%
Rothwell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:19
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
BR
Ben Rothwell
39 – 14
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rothwell

Rothwell holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Overeem has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rothwell has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Overeem
Rothwell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
78"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Rothwell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
27.0
55.0
Performance Avg
49.7
52
Quality of Victory
48
56
Momentum Score
45
Overeem
Rothwell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
73%
Strike Accuracy
46%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
9 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
15
7
Body
2
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance12
2Clinch0
0Ground5
Overeem
Rothwell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Rothwell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
17/53 fights
Overeem
Rothwell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
45
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Overeem
Rothwell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
78%
9
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Rothwell
Striking8.7 / 5.5Volume3.2 / 2.8Grappling0.6 / 3.2Wrestling0.4 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure7.0 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Overeem
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Overeem
Attacking
5HEAD7BODY8LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Rothwell
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD7BODY8LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Rothwell targets the head (88% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Rothwell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Rothwell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.2W5.5L5.5L6.2L5.2W5.1W5.9L6.3W2.1L2009-102013-082019-032021-052021-11
WinLossTrend

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Rothwell · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Ben Rothwell
← Back to fights