METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Phoenix, USA
17 Feb 2019
Welterweight
VS
58%
Luque
42%
Barberena
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:54
★ Official Result
Vicente LuquewinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:54
def. Bryan Barberena · UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Luque wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Luque at 58% vs Barberena at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barberena has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LuqueBarberena
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luque
Barberena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Luque
Barberena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
43.3
56.1
Performance Avg
43.9
50
Quality of Victory
42
79
Momentum Score
76
Luque
Barberena
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
5.3
2.3
Style: Volume
4.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
56
Head
60
7
Body
4
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
60Distance63
7Clinch3
4Ground0
Luque
Barberena
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
4.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
7
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luque
Barberena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Luque
Barberena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
76
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Luque
Barberena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
56%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Barberena
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
LuqueBarberena
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
71 landedAbsorbing
66 absorbedBarberena
Attacking
66 landedAbsorbing
71 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (79% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Barberena targets the head (91% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Barberena
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Luque · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Joel AlvarezDecision
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Themba GorimboSubmission
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Barberena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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