UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Lightweight
VS
50%
Pichel
50%
Madsen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pichel
This is a genuine toss-up — Pichel at 50% vs Madsen at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Madsen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pichel's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Madsen has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pichel
Madsen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"
Reach
72"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pichel
Madsen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.5
39.0
41.3
Performance Avg
46.9
30
Quality of Victory
34
40
Momentum Score
79
Pichel
Madsen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
8
6
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance4
4Clinch2
4Ground2
Pichel
Madsen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pichel
Madsen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Pichel
Madsen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
79
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pichel
Madsen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pichel
Madsen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
PichelMadsen
Strike Zones
Pichel
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMadsen
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pichel targets the head (64% of attacks) — Madsen absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Madsen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pichel
RND
Madsen
0/0R00/0
Pichel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Madsen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Pichel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Ismael BonfimRating 5.9Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mark MadsenRating 5.7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
Madsen · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Sub · R3
Grant DawsonRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 4.7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
