METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall
London, United Kingdom
13 Jul 2002
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Sobral
49%
Sinosic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ES
Elvis Sinosic
"The King of Rock n' Rumble"
7 – 11
Submission Hunter6-fight slide55 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Renato SobralwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Elvis Sinosic · UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sobral
→
Actual result
Sobral wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sobral at 51% vs Sinosic at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sinosic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Sobral has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sobral's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sinosic has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SobralSinosic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sobral
Sinosic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
50+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sobral
Sinosic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
14.7
49.2
Performance Avg
38.1
42
Quality of Victory
54
26
Momentum Score
33
Sobral
Sinosic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
0.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
1
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Sobral
Sinosic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sobral
Sinosic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/48 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Sobral
Sinosic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
33
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
Sobral
Sinosic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sobral
Sinosic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
SobralSinosic
Strike Zones
Sobral
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSinosic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sobral targets the head (77% of attacks) — Sinosic absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Sinosic targets the body (50% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sobral
RND
Sinosic
0/0R00/0
Sobral · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Sinosic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Sobral · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
David HeathRating 5.2Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
Sinosic · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Alessio SakaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R1
Forrest GriffinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
L · Dec · R3
Renato SobralRating 5.5Decision
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
L · R1
Evan TannerRating 4UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03