UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Las Vegas, USA
9 Nov 2024
Middleweight
VS
50%
Meerschaert
50%
Ridder
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Meerschaert
This is a genuine toss-up — Meerschaert at 50% vs Ridder at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Meerschaert throws more volume but Ridder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Meerschaert's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Meerschaert
Ridder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
38
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Meerschaert
Ridder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.7
55.7
48.2
Performance Avg
53.5
50
Quality of Victory
45
91
Momentum Score
53
Meerschaert
Ridder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Meerschaert
Ridder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
7.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
5.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Meerschaert
Ridder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/59 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Meerschaert
Ridder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
53
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Meerschaert
Ridder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
11
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Meerschaert
Ridder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
7.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
5.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
9.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
MeerschaertRidder
Strike Zones
Meerschaert
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRidder
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ridder targets the head (60% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Meerschaert
RND
Ridder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Meerschaert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ridder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
Ridder · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan AllenRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo NickalRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

