METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 100
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2009
Middleweight
VS
27%
Akiyama
73%
Belcher
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yoshihiro AkiyamawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alan Belcher · UFC 100
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Belcher
→
Actual result
Akiyama wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Belcher is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Belcher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Akiyama throws more volume but Belcher connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Akiyama's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Belcher has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AkiyamaBelcher
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Akiyama
Belcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
50
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akiyama
Belcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.3
22.4
26.4
Performance Avg
53.0
25
Quality of Victory
48
10
Momentum Score
100
Akiyama
Belcher
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
25
1
Body
6
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
20Distance39
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Akiyama
Belcher
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Akiyama
Belcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Akiyama
Belcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Akiyama
Belcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Akiyama
Belcher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
AkiyamaBelcher
Strike Zones
Akiyama
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedBelcher
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Akiyama targets the head (95% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Belcher targets the head (64% of attacks) — Akiyama absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Akiyama
RND
Belcher
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Akiyama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Belcher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Akiyama · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alberto MinaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Jake ShieldsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Belcher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteRating 5.2Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05